El Banco Mundial insta a los partidos políticos en Costa Rica a colaborar en una consolidación fiscal sostenible

·         El Banco Mundial valora positivamente los esfuerzos de las autoridades costarricenses durante el último año para aumentar los ingresos y contener el crecimiento del gasto. ·         La nueva reforma tributaria representa un paso importante hacia la consolidación fiscal. Sin embargo, se necesitan elementos adicionales para asegurar la sostenibilidad de la deuda del país en el mediano y largo plazo.

让海洋休养生息可为渔业带来830亿美元的额外效益

2017年2月14日,华盛顿:减少捕捞量,改进捕捞方法,每年可为渔业带来830亿美元的额外收入,为发展中国家开创急需的收入来源,改善全球粮食安全,世界银行集团新报告称。 《重温?…

La basura electrónica: Desechos que valen millones

¿Cada cuánto cambias de teléfono celular? Para 2018 se pronostica que los latinoamericanos generarán 4.800 kilotoneladas (kt) de basura electrónica o e-waste, lo que representa un 70% más que en 2009, por encima del 55% que se espera a nivel global, según un reporte de la GSMA y el Instituto de Estudios Avanzados sobre la Sostenibilidad de la Universidad de las Naciones Unidas (UNU-IAS). Pero la basura electrónica no incluye sólo los teléfonos móviles, ordenadores y aparatos domésticos, sino también equipos cuya existencia apenas se percibe, como los medidores de energía. Aunque sean pequeños, permanezcan ocultos en las casas y no contengan metales pesados, los medidores pueden causar riesgos ambientales y para la salud desde el momento en que son enviados a los vertederos. Por otro lado, son totalmente reutilizables y tienen potencial lucrativo si se eliminan correctamente y reciclan, en un esquema más conocido como logística inversa. Así se hizo en Brasil, el país latinoamericano que más produce e-waste: fueron más de 1,400kt en 2014, de acuerdo con la GSMA y el UNU-IAS. Una alianza entre el Banco Mundial y las Centrales Eléctricas Brasileñas (Eletrobras) en seis estados (Acre, Amazonas, Rondônia y Roraima, en el norte, y Alagoas y Piauí, en el noreste) hizo posible la subasta de medidores obsoletos, transformadores, cables y otros equipos para empresas de reciclaje. Con la venta, los operadores de energía locales recaudaron 5,4 millones de reales (1,7 millones de dólares) que será destinados a proyectos sociales. También se generaron más de 2 toneladas de materias primas recicladas. La iniciativa forma parte del proyecto Energía Más, que tiene como objetivo mejorar la calidad de transmisión y reducir los problemas de medición incorrecta y robo de electricidad, que cuestan a Brasil alrededor de 15.000 millones de reales (4.700 millones de dólares) al año. Elementos rastreables "En cada subasta, las empresas de reciclaje se han comprometido a destruir los medidores obsoletos, para poner fin a cualquier posibilidad de que sean reutilizados en la propia red de distribución, lo que agravaría los problemas", explica Christophe de Gouvello, director del proyecto en el Banco Mundial. "El destino final de estos elementos se hizo rastreable para que estuviéramos seguros de que el material no iría para un vertedero", añade. Gouvello destaca el interés que el mercado de reciclaje tuvo por los equipos, a pesar de que estaban en estados distantes de la mayoría de las empresas del sector. Para muchas de estas compañías, la subasta sirvió como motivación para organizarse y brindar mejores servicios. Una de ellas, Trafominas, se encuentra en Guaxupé, ciudad de 70.000 habitantes en Minas Gerais, sudeste brasileño. El fundador, Geovani Marques, se desempeñaba como pequeño comerciante de metales cuando decidió fundar la compañía en 2007. Marques aprendió que, para cerrar negocios importantes, tendría que reformar la planta de reciclaje y buscar certificaciones de gestión ambiental.

World Bank’s Response to BIC’s case studies on Development Policy Operations in Peru, Egypt, Mozambique, and Indonesia

 The BIC report is factually incorrect and does not capture the extent of our energy portfolio in these countries, which includes a mix of interventions – from policy reforms, to investments and technical assistance – that work together to promote climate-smart growth and increase energy access.The World Bank’s development policy loans help shift countries towards a cleaner energy mix and low carbon growth by reforming the energy sector, introducing efficiencies, and reducing waste in resources.The BIC report looks narrowly at just one type of financing without the context of the broader program. This paints a limited and distorted picture.In response to demand from our clients, the World Bank Group is committed to increasing the climate-related share of its overall portfolio to 28 percent by 2020. We are helping the private sector to invest in developing countries by reducing risks for commercial financiers, private investors, and public entities to implement renewable energy projects.The goal is to add 20 gigawatts of renewable energy generation over five years and to mobilize $25 billion in commercial funds for clean energy. Through a combination of policies and investments in power systems, the World Bank will enable a further 10 GW of renewables to become integrated into grids.Helping countries make the transition to clean energy is core to our work, in addition to securing affordable, sustainable and reliable energy services to the more than 1 billion people who currently lack access. For example, a recent auction in Zambia under our Scaling Solar Program, set record low prices per kilowatt hour for solar generation.An important part of our work is getting the policy environment right to increase the flow of private investment. This means supporting countries to develop clear and transparent regulations, build strong institutions, remove fossil fuel subsidies, and grow industries that generate green jobs. EGYPT The World Bank’s Support to Egypt’s Energy SectorThe World Bank’s engagement in Egypt is focused on eliminating extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity in a sustainable manner by improving governance, including in the energy sector, creating private sector jobs, and improving social inclusion.As more than 70% of Egypt’s greenhouse gas emissions come from energy use, the World Bank Group’s engagement in Egypt’s energy sector is focused on moving toward cleaner energy and reducing the energy intensity of Egypt’s GDP.The World Bank has a large program of renewable energy reform, including policy support, and technical assistance.Our work ranges from promoting integration of renewables in the grid through transmission investments, technical assistance for reducing barriers for clean energy, reducing traffic pollution through more efficient railway and urban transport systems, to financing projects to find cost-effective solutions in environmental hot spots, to managing and disposing of stockpiles of obsolete pesticides and other long-lasting pollutants. Role of Development Policy OperationsThe Bank’s development policy operations (DPOs) in Egypt back energy reforms and modernization of the energy sector, which set out to increase the use of renewable energy, improve sector governance and encourage more efficient use of energy. The Development Policy Financing (DPF) reform program supports the use of economically priced gas, which is the cheapest way Egypt can meet demand for electricity and has potential to substantially reduce GHG emissions. It does not promote the use of coal.Addressing sustainable energy supply issues in Egypt has the potential to dramatically improve Egypt’s fiscal situation and reduce GHGs (reduction of 11% to 21% by FY19 compared to baseline trajectory); enhance private sector investments; bring energy demand in line with supply; encourage sustainable growth; and increase funding for social programs. MOZAMBIQUE Development Challenges The 2015 Human Development Index puts Mozambique at the bottom of the ranking (180 out of 188 countries). The adult literacy rate is 56%, and average life expectancy at birth is 50.3 years. Mozambique faces other challenges such as high malnutrition, and stunting. Only 25% of Mozambicans have access to electricity. The Bank is supporting expanded energy access for the poor through direct investments and policy reforms. The World Bank’s Support to Mozambique’s Energy SectorA well-managed energy sector could help improve the country’s fiscal position, which would allow for investments in critical improvements in human development.World Bank projects are currently supporting investments and technical assistance to extend electricity services to the population, community centers (including schools and hospitals) in urban and isolated areas. For example, under the Energy Development and Access Project, over 1200 solar photovoltaic systems will be installed in schools, hospitals and towns where grid access is presently impractical. Role of Development Policy OperationsThe objective of the Poverty Reduction and Support Credit (PRSC) series was to assist the Republic of Mozambique to improve the business climate; increase transparency in the management of extractive industries; strengthen social protection; and enhance public finance management.The PRSC support was aimed at the development of an improved regulatory regime for the extractive sector to encourage appropriate investments along with a fiscal regime that ensures that the Government is able to capture a fair share of the rents generated. This support is also fully consistent with the Bank’s policy in the energy sector, particularly regarding support for natural gas, which is the fossil fuel with the lowest carbon intensity. The PRSCs also supported reforms to strengthen the business environment in order to facilitate upstream and downstream linkages between local firms and international investors that could bolster employment, support diversification, and broaden the distribution of the benefits of Mozambique’s natural resource wealth.The Bank’s support for Mozambique under the PRSC series also recognized that while resource revenues have tremendous potential to aid in poverty reduction, realizing this potential requires complementary reforms and investment. These include stronger systems for the management of public resources, increased social spending to build human capital, and improved institutional quality, which is often the decisive factor in how effectively the extractive industries contribute to positive development outcomes. PRSC support for improved public investment management, strengthened social protection programs, and greater transparency in the extractives sector were designed to address these challenges.The Bank’s activities in Mozambique – using a full range of instruments, including DPF but also investment and technical assistance projects – have also sought to addresses climate-related challenges to inclusive growth and poverty reduction by strengthening the institutional and policy framework for integrating climate change considerations into development policies. With Bank and other donor support, the Government has made significant progress in laying the foundation for greater climate resilience.The Bank fully supports transparency. The Bank already publishes all program documents – some of them prior to their presentation to the Board – and these documents contain descriptions of all actions by the relevant government that the Bank supports under DPFs. PERU Country ContextOver the past decade, the Government of Peru has been making significant efforts to improve its policies and institutions for environment and climate change management. A recent Environmental Performance Review of Peru prepared by the OECD-ECLAC (the UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean) recognizes the government’s efforts. The World Bank’s SupportThe Bank’s support to Peru in climate change and environmental sustainability covers a broad set of activities, ranging from helping finance the Lima Metro project, that will contribute to improving air quality and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, to a grant mechanism implemented by indigenous peoples groups in the Amazon region and the World Wildlife Fund, that supports sustainable management of forest resources and reduction of GHGs. Other Development Policy Financing helped Peru to introduce the institutional and regulatory framework for improved environmental management and outcomes, and also contributed towards the creation of the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resource Management and the OEFA (environmental evaluation and supervision agency). Role of Development Policy OperationsDevelopment Policy Financing is just one aspect of the Bank’s support to Peru. The Government specifically requested support for policy and institutional reforms to improve competitiveness, productivity, and public financial management. The goal of these operations is to boost human capital and productivity, and improve the management of public expenditures in subnational governments, as well as the framework for public-private partnerships (PPPs).Although these operations do not focus specifically on environmental issues, the two development policy operations assessed the impact of the supported policy actions on the environment, forests and natural resources. That assessment concludes that policy actions included in the development policy operations have a positive or neutral impact, and that the risk of un-anticipated effects is very low. Furthermore, the regulations supported by the operations do not override environmental or other types of legislation already valid and enforceable in Peru. They are also not directed to land acquisition issues and, in this respect, did not support the preparation of law 30230 on investment promotion (enacted long before the DPF) and did not have a part in the preparation of the recently enacted legislative decree 1333 to simplify access to land.The new PPP framework adopted by the Government of Peru strengthens governance by ensuring that the stronger regulatory framework applicable to all public investments also apply to investments to PPPs. This is likely to help reduce potential negative impact on environment, forests and natural resources, and enable better scrutiny of investment projects financed by the PPPs.The public-private partnerships referenced as examples of the DPO’s potential environmental impact were completed before the reforms supported by these two development policy operations were enacted. More broadly, the Government conducted detailed environmental impact assessments for each of the PPP projects referenced in the report, and these are available from the authorities.The new PPP framework and fuel or gas subsidies: The WBG has not been part of the hydropower plants and the southern gas pipeline quoted in the report. These were not covered by the PPP reforms as they were structured before the reforms supported by the development policy operations were put in place. INDONESIA Development ChallengesTo eliminate poverty and enhance shared prosperity, Indonesia needs productivity-based growth, more and better jobs, and improved access to health, education and social safety nets for all Indonesians. The WBG is committed to support the Government of Indonesia’s efforts to reach these goals in a sustainable manner. The World Bank’s Support to Indonesia’s Energy SectorThe Bank Group’s program in Indonesia’s energy sector includes lending and knowledge services supporting reforms aimed at improving the investment climate in the energy sector; increasing sustainability through the use of renewables, low carbon and energy efficient investments; and expanding access to modern energy. Role of Development Policy OperationsThe Indonesia First Sustainable and Inclusive Energy DPO focuses on the government’s efforts to scale up renewable energy, especially geothermal energy, the second largest renewable resource in Indonesia after hydropower, and an important clean substitute for coal power. For example, the new geothermal law and its accompanying regulations, which the DPO supports, are expected to boost investor interest.The World Bank’s strategy has been to engage the government in reforms of the sector and in its effort to shift more of its energy production to renewables. In other concrete examples of the Bank’s support for renewable energy initiatives, the Bank has made several other investments in geothermal power generation, including financing 75 megawatts as of end December with another 75 mw under way.Since the DPO, the government has also increased its target for investment in geothermal energy by 30 percent, to 6.2 gigawatts.The World Bank also helped Indonesia ease the process for power producers to invest in renewables. The Bank’s support is aimed at helping the government streamline cumbersome administrative procedures, which have impeded investment in clean energy.The World Bank Group is not investing in coal fired power generation projects in Indonesia.Through it energy engagement, including the Sustainable and Inclusive Energy DPO, the Bank is also supporting the government’s efforts to reduce wasteful energy subsidies – creating space to reallocate resources towards infrastructure, health-care, and social assistance programs.In addition to the support to sustainable energy sector development, the Bank program also focuses on a broad, multi-sectoral Sustainable Landscapes Program given the unique GHG emissions profile of Indonesia (i.e. approximately 62% of all GHG emissions come from land use conversion and deforestation). The Sustainable Landscapes Program supports: (i) One Map Program (to improve clarity on land use and management in and around the Forest Estate); (ii) improved management of priority landscapes, including efforts to conserve, restore and sustainable manage peatlands; (iii) strengthening forest and land fire prevention and management; and (iv) jurisdictional pilots to improve land and forest management, including in East Kalimantan.Some of the questions raised have been around the role of financial intermediaries.The Indonesia Infrastructure Guarantee Fund, or IIGF, which is supported by a US$29.6 million IBRD loan, is part of the Government of Indonesia’s strategy to boost infrastructure investment by providing a well-governed, one-stop shop for guarantees for infrastructure projects. Under the terms of the World Bank loan to IIGF, all guarantees provided by IIGF must comply with its Operations Manual, which is compliant with the World Bank’s social and environmental safeguards. Any guarantees directly backed by World-Bank financed guarantees must be fully compliant with all World Bank policies, including our policy to not invest in coal.Indonesia Infrastructure Finance Facility (IIFF) project, which was financed by an IBRD loan of US$100 million and approved in 2009, helped the Government of Indonesia create IIF as a non-bank financial institution to facilitate the financing of commercially viable infrastructure projects, and ultimately increase privately financed infrastructure to help fill the country’s infrastructure gap. The World Bank loan supported IIF to develop its Operations Manual (OM) in line with World Bank environmental and social safeguards and fiduciary requirements. Under the loan, IIF is required to comply with all WB project requirements, including those related to environmental and social safeguards, technical and fiduciary aspects.

WB/Argentina: Investments in online government aim to improve public services and increase transparency

WASHINGTON, February 21, 2017 – Improved quality and accessibility of selected government administrative services and enhanced transparency of the public administration are two main goals for the new US$80 million loan approved today by the World Bank Board of Executive Directors. Citizens seeking services from the national government will benefit from a new single online entry point, which will increase the ease of completing key administrative procedures. The “Modernization and Innovation for Better Public Services in Argentina Project” will also create a digital citizen profile, which will unify information submitted online by citizens to avoid unnecessary re-entry of data, while a digital assistance program will help those citizens who lack internet to access digital services.  “In today’s world, citizens have all types of information at their fingertips; government services should be there too.  This financing will allow us to modernize public services so citizens can, more efficiently and effectively, access online the information they need from the government, ” said Andrés Ibarra, Minister of Modernization. For small and medium-size enterprises in Argentina, the project will develop online transaction tools that allow processes to be completed remotely, decreasing significantly the time and travel currently needed to carry out many of these requirements manually.   “These improvements will save time and money for citizens and increase productivity for small business,” said Jesko Hentschel, World Bank Director for Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay.  “Efficient public services strengthen governance and improve the business climate, which in turn foster sustainable growth and job creation.” Government transparency will also be enhanced through the implementation of a comprehensive national strategy for open government and open data including a new public procurement system that includes a unified registry of providers and enhanced public access to information.  These measures, along with an updated asset declaration system of the Anti-Corruption Office, will help to respond to inquiries and corruption allegations more efficiently. The US$80 million World Bank loan is flexible with a variable spread and a 32.5-year total maturity period, including a 7-year grace period.

BM/Argentina: Inversiones en gobierno digital apuntan a mejorar servicios públicos e incrementar transparencia

WASHINGTON, 21 de febrero de 2017 – Mejorar la calidad y la accesibilidad de un selecto número de servicios gubernamentales de carácter administrativo y una mayor transparencia en la administración pública son los dos principales objetivos de un nuevo préstamo de US$80 millones aprobado hoy por el Directorio Ejecutivo del Banco Mundial. Aquellos ciudadanos que soliciten servicios del gobierno nacional se beneficiarán de un nuevo y único punto de acceso en línea, que servirá para aumentar la facilidad de finalización de procedimientos administrativos clave. El “Proyecto de Modernización e Innovación de los Servicios Públicos en Argentina” también creará un perfil de ciudadanos digitales, que facilitará la unificación de la información enviada por los ciudadanos para evitar el reingreso innecesario de datos, mientras que un programa de asistencia digital ayudará a aquellos ciudadanos que carecen de Internet a tener acceso a servicios digitales. “En el mundo de hoy, los ciudadanos tienen todo tipo de información al alcance de sus manos: los servicios gubernamentales también deberían estarlo. Este financiamiento nos permitirá modernizar los servicios públicos, para que los ciudadanos puedan, de manera más eficiente y efectiva, tener acceso a la información que necesitan del gobierno”, dijo, Andrés Ibarra, Ministro de Modernización. Para las pequeñas y medianas empresas argentinas, el proyecto diseñará herramientas para transacciones en línea que permitirán completar procesos de manera remota, reduciendo significativamente el tiempo y los desplazamientos necesarios en la actualidad para llevar a cabo muchos de estos requisitos de manera manual. “Estas mejoras le ahorrarán tiempo y dinero a los ciudadanos y mejorarán la productividad de las pequeñas empresas”, dijo Jesko Hentschel, Director del Banco Mundial para Argentina, Paraguay y Uruguay. “Unos servicios públicos eficientes fortalecen la gobernanza y mejoran el entorno de negocios, lo que a su vez promueve el crecimiento sostenible y la generación de puesto de trabajo”. La transparencia del gobierno también mejorará a través de la implementación de una estrategia nacional integral de gobierno y datos abiertos, incluido un nuevo sistema de adquisiciones públicas que incluye un registro único de proveedores y un mejor acceso del público a la información. Estas medidas, junto a un sistema actualizado de declaración de bienes para la Oficina Anticorrupción, ayudarán a responder a indagaciones y denuncias de corrupción de manera más eficiente. El préstamo de US$80 millones del Banco Mundial es flexible, tiene un margen variable y un período de vencimiento de 32,5 años, incluyendo un período de gracia de 7 años.  

Modernization and Innovation for Better Public Services in Argentina Project

 The World Bank’s Board of Executive Directors today approved the following project:Modernization and Innovation for Better Public Services in Argentina Project   IBRD Loan: US$80 million Terms: Maturity = 32.5 years, Grace = 7 years Project ID: P157136 Project Description: The objective of the program is to improve the quality and accessibility of selected government administrative services and to enhance transparency of Argentina’s public administration. The project will also create a digital citizen profile, which will unify information submitted online by citizens to avoid unnecessary re-entry of data, while a digital assistance program will help those citizens who lack internet to access digital services.

Zonas Francas de República Dominicana, motor de competitividad y empleos: Banco Mundial

SANTO DOMINGO, 22 de febrero, 2017 – Un nuevo informe presentado hoy por el Banco Mundial sugiere una serie de políticas para fortalecer a las zonas francas en República Dominicana como un vehículo de crecimiento económico sostenible e incluyente, y su uso efectivo para atraer la inversión extranjera directa y fomentar la creación de empleos mejor calificados y pagados.  “La República Dominicana es uno de los pioneros en el uso de zonas francas a nivel global. Este diagnóstico identifica tres principales desafíos para un sector más competitivo e incluyente: el impacto de la transformación productiva de zona franca en generación de empleos; el grado de atracción a proveedores internacionales competitivos, y el nivel de encadenamiento productivo con empresas domésticas”, dijo Cecile Fruman, directora de la Práctica Global de Comercio y Competitividad del Banco Mundial. El informe “Zonas Francas en República Dominicana: consideraciones de política para un sector más competitivo e incluyente” pone de relieve que actualmente las zonas francas del país generan 140 mil empleos directos, en su mayoría mano de obra poco calificada. Por tanto, ante el crecimiento de industrias más sofisticadas que demandan una mano de obra con mayor calificación, debería priorizarse el desarrollo de programas de asistencia para el ajuste laboral, y mejorar la capacidad de los trabajadores, en especial de las mujeres. “Las Zonas Francas en República Dominicana han sido y siguen siendo un motor de desarrollo para el país. La consolidación de este modelo para apoyar un crecimiento inclusivo depende crucialmente en la facilitación de la transmisión de conocimiento y tecnologías entre empresas de zona franca y el resto de la economía”, dijo Alessandro Legrottaglie, representante del Banco Mundial en el país. “Este informe viene a complementar las Notas de Políticas publicadas por el Grupo Banco Mundial en apoyo a los esfuerzos del Gobierno de lograr un crecimiento sostenido y más inclusivo a través de la ampliación de las oportunidades económicas y sociales para todos los dominicanos”. El informe pone de relieve que a partir del 2009 se ha observado cierta recuperación en la actividad de las zonas. Sin embargo, durante la última década se observa una creciente dependencia a los insumos importados; simultáneamente el surgimiento de procesos de manufactura más sofisticados ha dado como resultado cadenas de valor más complejas incrementado la cantidad de etapas de producción que se generan en el país. La creación y potencialización de encadenamientos productivos entre empresas locales con zona franca es uno de los temas prioritarios en la actualidad. “La competitividad es una prioridad para el país. IFC considera a las Pymes como fundamental para el desarrollo, ya que son las principales generadoras de empleo y tienen un gran potencial de crecimiento. Es importante mejorar su capacidad a fin de integrarlas en las cadenas de producción de las Zonas Francas, impulsando la competitividad y el desarrollo de la economía local”, expresó Guillermo Villanueva, jefe de IFC en el país. El país ha  avanzado mediante la implementación de programas piloto para aumentar los encadenamientos productivos desde el 2015. Al mismo tiempo, se ha establecido un convenio de 6 instituciones públicas y privadas que trabajarán en diseñar políticas para conectar a las empresas locales con empresas de zona franca. Estos esfuerzos van encaminados en la dirección correcta y deben continuar y fortalecerse. En el mediano plazo, es aconsejable instaurar un programa riguroso de evaluación del impacto de los programas de encadenamiento productivo. El informe sugiere intervenciones en tres áreas: Fomento de los encadenamientos domésticos mediante la eliminación de barreras que restringen la capacidad de las empresas domésticas de importar y de las zonas francas de abastecerse en territorio nacional; mayor conexión entre proveedores domésticos y atraer a proveedores internacionales competitivos.  Desarrollo de programas de asistencia para el ajuste laboral, incluida la capacitación en nuevas habilidades demandadas por las empresas de Zona Franca y asistencia en la búsqueda de empleo. Mejora del marco general de apoyo al comercio, la competitividad de las exportaciones y la atracción de Inversión Extranjera Directa con un enfoque en una estrategia nacional de exportación e inversión coordinada y aprobada por los diferentes agentes público privado involucrados, junto con una Agencia de Promoción de las Exportaciones (CEI-RD) empoderada.   

El Banco Mundial insta a los partidos políticos en Costa Rica a colaborar en una consolidación fiscal sostenible

·         El Banco Mundial valora positivamente los esfuerzos de las autoridades costarricenses durante el último año para aumentar los ingresos y contener el crecimiento del gasto. ·         La nueva reforma tributaria representa un paso importante hacia la consolidación fiscal. Sin embargo, se necesitan elementos adicionales para asegurar la sostenibilidad de la deuda del país en el mediano y largo plazo.

¿Puede un robot sustituirte en el trabajo?

“La raíz de nuestros problemas no es que estamos en una gran recesión, o un gran estancamiento, sino más bien en las primeras etapas de una gran reestructuración. Nuestras tecnologías están avanzando, pero muchas de nuestras habilidades y organizaciones están rezagadas. Por lo tanto, es urgente que entendamos estos fenómenos, discutamos sus implicaciones y presentemos estrategias que permitan a los trabajadores humanos avanzar con las máquinas en vez de competir contra ellas”. Esta cita de los investigadores del MIT Erik Brynjolfsson y Andrew McAfee en su libro La carrera contra las máquinas (2011) puede sonar apocalíptica. Pero es que el temor del hombre a las máquinas no es nuevo: es una historia de más de 200 años que la realidad ha confirmado una y otra vez. Y no será diferente en el futuro. Cuando se habla de robotización inmediatamente vienen a la mente imágenes como el de las películas el Hombre Bicentenario o Terminator. Pero estos no son los robots que han ido desplazando a obreros y trabajadores en muchas industrias. Son esas máquinas con gigantescos brazos armados que ensamblan autos o equipos pesados presentes en la construcción de grandes obras de infraestructura, e incluso los precisos aparatos para producir los teléfonos celulares. Y por qué no, también son esas lavadoras con diferentes programas de lavar, o la aspiradora inteligente que identifica los tipos de superficies y actúa acorde a ellos. Si bien la tecnología, en general, ha resultado una bendición para la humanidad, no hay que dudar que sus costos y el impacto en la vida de miles de millones han sido dramáticos. De hecho, los mismos investigadores en su libro “La segunda era de las máquinas (2014)” pronostican que debido a la tecnología, en el futuro millones quedarán sin empleo: “Las máquinas ya no solo realizan tareas repetitivas y rutinarias, sino que cada vez son más capaces de realizar cosas que antes se nos antojaban imposibles como conducir vehículos, diagnosticar enfermedades u ofrecer asesoría financiera”, señala McAfee. Máquinas vs. hombre Según cifras del informe 2016 de la Federación Internacional de Robótica (IFR en inglés), para el año 2019 el número de robots industriales instalados en el mundo se incrementará a unos 2.6 millones de unidades, es decir, cerca de un millón de unidades más de las que había en 2015, un año récord para esa industria. Al ver el desagregado, cerca del 70 por ciento de los robots están ahora desplegados en los sectores automotriz, electrónica/eléctrico, metales y maquinaria industrial. La Unión Europea encabeza la lista de regiones donde existe el mayor uso de robots en las industrias: el 65 por ciento de los países con una cantidad por encima del promedio de robots industriales por 10.000 trabajadores están en la zona euro. Le sigue China de cerca, y se pronostica que para 2019, el 40% del volumen del mercado mundial de la industria robótica se venderá en este país. Pero como se mencionó antes, los robots no solo están en las industrias. También están cada vez más presentes en los hogares. Siempre según la IFR, la cantidad de robots en hogares domésticos –como por ejemplo los que limpian pisos, cortadoras de césped, limpiadores de piscinas, entre otros- se incrementará a 31 millones entre 2016 y 2019, lo que representa ventas de unos 13.000 millones de dólares en ese periodo. Es cada vez más habitual que las máquinas puedan realizar tareas rutinarias con mayor rapidez y a un costo menor que los seres humanos, y muchas de las actividades que hoy en día se consideran no rutinarias (como la traducción, la suscripción de seguros o incluso los diagnósticos médicos) en el futuro podrían ser ejecutadas igualmente bien por las computadoras. En un informe realizado por el jefe de economistas departamento de investigación de Unicredit, Harm Bandholz, y titulado “Las consecuencias económicas y sociales de la robotización” se destaca que aunque la evidencia sobre el impacto del uso de robots en el mercado laboral es aún incipiente “ya existen cada vez más estudios que comienzan a respaldar la idea de que estos aparatos aumentan la productividad, los salarios, e incluso la demanda total de mano de obra, pero, sobre todo, benefician a los trabajadores más calificados”, a costa de aquellos que tienen calificaciones y salarios medianos y bajos. Según datos del Banco Mundial, la proporción de empleos amenazados por la automatización alcanza el 69 % en India, el 77 % en China y nada menos que el 85 % en Etiopía. Si bien no se menciona a América Latina, no hay que negar que esta ola también está impactando a la región. ¿Cómo hacer frente a esta realidad? Si bien el desplazamiento del empleo y la pérdida de puestos de trabajo provocados por el cambio tecnológico son parte indisoluble del progreso económico, los expertos reconocen que los robots han reducido la necesidad de que las personas realicen tareas arduas, repetitivas o peligrosas. Asimismo, han permitido liberar recursos humanos y financieros que pueden reasignarse a sectores de mayor rentabilidad. Esto es especialmente apreciado en países que envejecen con rapidez o en aquellos donde la población disminuye, o en profesiones donde el personal capacitado escasea. La medicina a distancia y los diagnósticos automatizados, por ejemplo, permiten que los expertos médicos atiendan a muchas más personas, aún a la distancia, en zonas donde faltan doctores. Pero el problema, como se ve ahora, es que los trabajadores en los diferentes niveles de ingreso y calificación no se benefician en la misma medida, por lo que el resultado inmediato es que la robotización está aumentando aún más la desigualdad en los ingresos. Los expertos consideran que el acceso a la educación de calidad y el desarrollo de habilidades desde edades tempranas pueden contrarrestar el efecto de los robots en el mercado laboral. “Tenemos que repensar nuestro sistema educativo. Dado que los robots y las máquinas son capaces de hacerse cargo de un número cada vez mayor de tareas, los seres humanos tienen que centrarse en sus ventajas comparativas, que incluyen las habilidades no cognitivas”, afirma Bandholz. Harry A. Patrinos, gerente del sector educación del Banco Mundial, comenta que para muchos países en desarrollo, como los de América Latina, los conocimientos básicos son fundamentales. “La fluidez de la lectura en la primera infancia es de suma importancia. Después de todo, “el aprendizaje engendra aprendizaje” como dice James Heckman y el área para comenzar es el desarrollo en la primera infancia. Hay también pruebas claras de que las aptitudes de comportamiento –como el trabajo en equipo, la diligencia, la creatividad, el espíritu empresarial– son esenciales para prosperar en las actuales economías globalizadas en rápida evolución e impulsadas por la tecnología”. Otro punto importante para Bandholz es que una de las soluciones más prometedoras para el desafío a largo plazo planteado por las máquinas que sustituyen la mano de obra es que todos los trabajadores tengan una participación sustancial en la propiedad de las máquinas robot. “Esto permite a los trabajadores obtener ingresos procedentes tanto del trabajo como del capital”.

Free-Trade Zones in the Dominican Republic, an Engine for Competitiveness and Jobs: World Bank

SANTO DOMINGO, February 22, 2017 – A new report presented today by the World Bank suggests a series of policies designed to strengthen free-trade zones in the Dominican Republic as a path toward sustainable and inclusive economic growth, and its effective use in order to attract foreign direct investment and generate better-qualified and better-paid jobs. “The Dominican Republic is one of the global pioneers in the use of free-trade zones. This diagnosis identifies the three main challenges on the path to a more competitive and inclusive sector: the impact of the productive transformation of free-trade-zone in job creation; the level of attraction for competitive international providers; and the level of linkages with domestic companies,” said Cecile Fruman, Director of the World Bank’s Global Trade and Competitiveness Practice. The report “Free-Trade Zones in the Dominican Republic: Policy Considerations for a More Competitive and Inclusive Sector” underscores that, currently, free-trade zones generate 140 thousand direct jobs, most of them low-skilled ones. Because of this, and in view of the growth of more sophisticated industries requiring a more skilled workforce, priority should be placed on the development of support programs for labor adjustment, as well as improving workers’ capacity, women in particular. “Free-Trade Zones in the Dominican Republic have been and continue to act as growth engines for the country. To support inclusive growth the consolidation of this  modeldepends essentially  on facilitating the transfer of knowledge and technology between free-trade zones companies and the rest of the economy,” said Alessandro Legrottaglie, World Bank Representative in the country. “This report complements the Policy Notes published by the World Bank Group in supporting Government efforts to achieve a sustainable and more inclusive growth by expanding economic and social opportunities for all Dominicans.” The report highlights that starting in 2009, a certain recovery in activities has been observed in these zones. However, in the last decade a growing dependency on imported inputs can be seen. Simultaneously, the resurgence of more sophisticated manufacturing processes has resulted in more complex value chains, increasing the amount of production stages present in the country. Currently, the creation and optimization of backward linkages among local companies present in free-trade zones is one of the priority issues. “Competitiveness is a priority for the country. The IFC believes that SMEs are key for development, as they are the main generator of jobs and a great potential for growth. It is important to improve their capacity in order to incorporate them into Free-Trade Zone production chains, therefore boosting competitiveness and the development of the local economy,” said Guillermo Villanueva, IFC chief in the country. The country has moved forward through the implementation of pilot programs aimed at increasing productive linkages since 2015. At the same time, an agreement has been established with six public and private institutions that will work on designing policies to connect local companies with the ones located in free-trade zones. These efforts are on the right track and must be continued and strengthened. In the medium term, a rigorous impact evaluation of backward linkages programs should be implemented. The report suggests interventions in three areas:Promoting domestic linkages by eliminating barriers restricting the capacity of domestic companies to import and the capacity of free-trade zones to supply to the national territory; providing greater connectivity between domestic suppliers and attracting competitive international providers.Development of labor adjustment support programs, including training in news skills sought after by free-trade zone companies and job search assistance.Improve the general framework for trade and Foreign Direct Investment competitiveness with a focus on a national export and an export and investment strategy coordinated and approved by the various public and private agents involved, along with an empowered export promotion agency (CEI-RD).

Guatemala: Chief of Party, Guatemala

Organization: ACDI/VOCA
Country: Guatemala
Closing date: 24 Mar 2017

Chief of Party, Guatemala

We are currently seeking a Chief of Party for the USAID-funded Guatemala Creating Economic Opportunities (CEO) Project. The objective of CEO is to reduce poverty and improve living conditions, closing gaps between Guatemala and migrant destination countries, in order to decrease unaccompanied child and irregular migration. To achieve this objective, CEO will grow businesses, and increase employment and income generating opportunities for Guatemalans through a multi-pronged approach utilizing four levers of economic development – expanding access to markets, improving workforce capacity, increasing access to financial services, and strengthening the policy and enabling environment. CEO will work to benefit the poorest of the poor and the most vulnerable Guatemalans, particularly youth and indigenous persons, in select geographic areas with high levels of out migration (the Western Highlands and the Department of Guatemala).

The COP will have overall responsibility for the contract including quality control, the appropriateness and overall responsiveness of all activities performed under the contract, whether by long – or short-term advisors or others, and professional oral and written communication with USAID.

Responsibilities:

  • Provide overall technical vision, leadership, and project management.

  • Manage and supervise work of all international consultants, local project staff and subcontractors.

  • Ensure day-to-day technical, schedule, and financial performance of the project in accordance with USAID rules and regulations, the scope of work, and annual work plans.

  • Serve as the project’s key liaison with headquarters, government counterparts, private sector stakeholders, subcontractors, academic institutions, and other local partners to exchange information and develop professional relationships.

  • Serve as the primary point of contact with USAID/Guatemala with regard to day-to-day implementation and management matters relating to the contract

  • Collaboratively create and implement a strategic, long-term programmatic vision.

  • Oversee preparation and supervision of project work planning, budgets and pipeline analyses, performance management, and strategic communications.

  • Evaluate sub-contractor and grantee activities through consultative meetings, site visits and reporting requirements

  • Ensure that the activities and results are implemented in a timely manner within the approved budget.

  • Review all financial and logistical information on a periodic basis.

  • Recommend and evaluate proposed staff.

  • Make verbal or written presentations as requested by the client to varied audiences.

  • Coordinate activities and prepare annual results report, resource requests, quarterly reports and pipeline analyses; coordinate with HQ on development of profiles, success stories, etc.

  • Assure that assistance provided under the award is technically sound and appropriate for the needs to be addressed and for adequately managing and supervising the work of all staff in country.

  • Monitor, evaluate and document progress toward meeting activity objectives.

Qualifications:

  • Advanced degree in development economics, business, rural development, or a related field.

  • Minimum 15 years of relevant international work experience in economic development project management and/or related areas with a strong knowledge private sector linkages, international trade and vocational training.

  • Extensive knowledge of market-led systems, accessing new markets in select value chains and organizational development experience.

  • Experience and knowledge in workforce development, preferably with youth or marginalized populations.

  • Proven Chief of Party experience on a large, complex USAID-funded contract, in Latin America; preferably in Guatemala.

  • Proven ability to effectively work in multicultural societies; positive track record in gender and ethnic inclusion.

  • Proven ability to collaborate successfully with host-country government officials, international donors, and private sector stakeholders.

  • Extensive management experience and strong leadership and communication skills required.

  • Demonstrated leadership, versatility, and integrity.

  • Demonstrated ability to be collaborative across projects; flexible and creative.

  • Fluent spoken, written, and reading abilities in English and Spanish is required.

How to apply:

Please apply online at http://acdivoca.bosmaxhire.net/cp/?E5556F361D43717B7E59192F77501D6A0D627B4D. No phone calls please. Only those candidates considered for an interview will be contacted. ACDI/VOCA is an equal opportunity employer. Women, minorities and people from diverse groups are encouraged to apply. ACDI/VOCA will never solicit a payment from any applicant.